SCENARIO D

• Growth primarily happens south between Provo and Santaquin but otherwise follows projected market trends; some more-intense development is focused in walkable centers, preserving other areas for single family homes, open space, and agriculture; People live closer to where they work, learn, and play 

• Countywide spending on transportation is medium; drive times across the valley are medium; travel without a car is moderately convenient; people spend a medium amount of time in the car and a medium amount of money on fuel and maintenance  

• The second-highest emissions of any scenario; buildings are 20% more efficient than they are today; 20% of cars are electric or zero emissions; people drive a medium amount  

• New housing follows projected market trends; a variety of housing options is available; private yards are smaller; housing is more affordable; energy efficiency is improved by 20%  

• Teacher salaries improve, increasing instructional quality; educational collaboration is good; more students obtain post-secondary degrees; more high-paying jobs in consumer products and professional services, benefiting the entire economy  

• Water use per household is reduced by 20%; yards are smaller; most homes use traditional landscaping; low-impact design is used to clean stormwater runoff  

• Most buildings are built in areas with high earthquake risk; construction standards for ground shaking are strengthened; few homes are built in areas with high wildfire risk 

• Much of the valley’s farmland is converted to homes and businesses; the minimum lot size in agricultural zones is 20 acres, which prevents subdivision for large-lot housing; agricultural production focuses on specialty crops